Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) plans to report its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2021 on Tuesday, July 27. We expect that MSFT’s revenue will exceed consensus expectations, but it has not been able to obtain revenue. The company has reported better-than-expected revenue and earnings data in each of the past four quarters. In the first nine months, the company’s revenue increased by 16% year-on-year, of which the smart cloud segment increased by more than 22% year-on-year. We expect that the smart cloud division will also maintain a high level at the end of the year by maintaining the growth in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021. Our forecast shows that Microsoft’s valuation is approximately US $ 292 per share, which is approximately US $ 4.5 higher than the current market price of US $ 279. Check out our interactive dashboard analysis of pre-income earnings for Microsoft: What will happen in the fourth quarter? more details.
(1) Fourth quarter revenue is expected to exceed market consensus.
Trefis estimates MSFT’s revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 to be approximately $ 42.64 billion, which is $ 4 more than the consensus estimate of $ 41.03 billion. In the first nine months of fiscal 2021 (as of June 2021), Microsoft’s revenue growth is led by the Smart Cloud division. We expect this momentum to continue into the final quarter of fiscal 2021. Overall, we expect revenue for fiscal 2021 to be approximately $ 164.6 billion. Our Microsoft revenue dashboard provides more detailed information on the company’s market segments.
(2) EPS may be less than consensus estimates.
MSFT earnings per share for Q4 2021 is expected to be $ 1.30 based on Trefis analysis, which is less than 1, 77 US dollars generally expected. The company’s fiscal year 2021 is expected to have a higher net profit margin. All in all, the company’s earnings per share in fiscal 2021 can be roughly $ 7.19.
TREFIS Revenue
(3) Stock price is estimated to be 4.5 times higher than current market price
Based on our Microsoft assessment, earnings per share for fiscal 2021 is estimated at approximately $ 7.19 and the P / E ratio is 40.6 times, which translates to a price of US $ 292. It is $ 4.50 higher than the current market price of about US $ 279.
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